Taking Stock of Infinite Value: Pascal's Wager and Relative Utilities

نویسنده

  • P. Bartha
چکیده

Among recent objections to Pascal’s Wager, two are especially compelling. The first is that decision theory, and specifically the requirement of maximizing expected utility, is incompatible with infinite utility values. The second is that even if infinite utility values are admitted, the argument of the Wager is invalid provided that we allow mixed strategies. Furthermore, Hájek (Philosophical Review 112, 2003) has shown that reformulations of Pascal’s Wager that address these criticisms inevitably lead to arguments that are philosophically unsatisfying and historically unfaithful. Both the objections and Hájek’s philosophical worries disappear, however, if we represent our preferences using relative utilities (generalized utility ratios) rather than a one-place utility function. Relative utilities provide a conservative way to make sense of infinite value that preserves the familiar equation of rationality with the maximization of expected utility. They also provide a means of investigating a broader class of problems related to the Wager.

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Hyperreal Expected Utilities and Pascal's Wager

This paper re-examines two major concerns about the validity of Pascal's Wager: (1) The classical von Neumann-Morgenstern Theorem seems to contradict the rationality of maximising expected utility when the utility function's range contains in nite numbers (McClennen 1994). (2) Apparently, the utility of salvation cannot be re exive under addition by real numbers (which Pascal's Pensée 233 deman...

متن کامل

Winning counterterrorism's version of Pascal's wager, but struggling to open the purse.

Lankford's essential empirical argument, which is based on evidence such as psychological autopsies, is that suicide attacks are caused by suicidality. By operationalizing this causal claim in a hypothetical experiment, I show the claim to be provable, and I contend that its truth is supported by Lankford's data. However, I question his ensuing arguments about beauty and goodness, and thereby t...

متن کامل

Market value added and traditional accounting criteria: Which measure is a best predictor of stock return in Malaysian companies

This study tests the hypothesis that market value added (MVA) is more highly associated with stock return (SR) than traditional performance measures. The purpose of this study is to provide empirical evidence on the relative and incremental information content of MVA and traditional performance measures, namely, net income (NI), net operational profit after tax (NOPAT), and earning per shares (...

متن کامل

Pascal’s ring, cardinal points, and refractive compensation

Pascal's ring is a hexagon each of whose corners represents one of the six cardinal points of an optical system and whose sides represent relationships of relative axial position of the cardinal points. Changes to the ring represent the axial displacements of the cardinal points of the visual optical system of an eye that are caused when a spectacle lens compensates for the ametropia. Pascal's ...

متن کامل

Geometry of Binomial Coefficients

This note describes the geometrical pattern of zeroes and ones obtained by reducing modulo two each element of Pascal's triangle formed from binomial coefficients. When an infinite number of rows of Pascal's triangle are included, the limiting pattern is found to be "self-similar," and is characterized by a "fractal dimension" log2 3. Analysis of the pattern provides a simple derivation of the ...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

عنوان ژورنال:
  • Synthese

دوره 154  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2007